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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
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News of 15 Jan 2020

(=) neutral, (+) positive, (-) negative


(=) ALXN – Alexion will begin research on Ultomiris.

(=) GOOGL – Google acquired Pointy, an Irish retailer, for undisclosed terms.

(+) TSLA – Jefferies raises the price bar to $ 600 from $ 400, as it indicates Tesla’s ability to increase sales in its energy storage and third-party battery packs.

(=) CMCSA – NBCUniversal has launched SportsTech, a global accelerator that it develops for startups in spot technology.

(+) GOOGL – Deutsche Bank raises the Alphabet target from $ 1,550 to $ 1,750 dollars in advance of the earnings report, which is expected on February 3.

(+) AAPL – UBS raises Apple’s target price from $ 280 to $ 355. Wedbush also updated the target price at $ 400.

(+) XLI – China has promised to purchase from the United States almost $ 80 billion of additional industrial goods over the next two years in accordance with the first stage trade agreement, which will be signed on Wednesday.

(=) BA – Boeing offers airlines huge discounts, bulk purchases and service packages due to the 737 MAX situation.

(=) LLY – Eli Lilly expands insulin offerings at low prices.

(=) AMZN, MSFT – Amazon will file a petition for a temporary ban on January 24 to temporarily block Microsoft from working on a 10B cloud contract worth from the Pentagon. The federal court will make its decision on February 11th.

(+) FB – Deutsche Bank has increased Facebook’s target price from $ 270 to $ 280, citing the increase in productivity of the main applications, which will continue this year.

(+) TSLA – Jefferies raises its target price to $ 600 from $ 400, and indicates Tesla’s ability to increase sales in its energy storage and third-party battery packs.

(+) CLDR – According to D.A. Davidson’s appointment of a new CEO may indicate a likely sale of the company to a larger player.

(+) WYNN – Goldman Sachs adds Wynn Resorts to its shopping list and more positive outlook for Macau. A team of GS analysts raises the target price of a casino operator to $ 181 from $ 157.

(-) AMZN – A Deutsche Bank analyst says Amazon Web Services growth seems to have slowed in the 4th quarter.

(+) GOOGL – Google acquires AppSheet. AppSheet will join the Google Cloud team and its services will be expanded to integrate with Google Sheets, Forms, Android Maps and Google Analytics. The company will continue its existing integration with Office 365, Salesforce, and Box.

(+) MSFT – Microsoft is releasing a security patch to fix a significant Windows flaw discovered by the National Security Agency.

(+) WYNN, LVS, MGM – JPMorgan looks positively at Macau’s prospects.

(+) BA – According to Bloomberg, Boeing is negotiating with a group of banks about a possible loan, since it is dealing with the suspension of production of its 737 MAX aircraft.

(=) AMZN – Amazon offers a loan for Deliveroo.

(+) DIS – Disney grew after reporting that its Disney Plus app’s mobile downloads were close to 41 million.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

Latest long ideas:

SBUX – broke through the resistance level, the next level at 93.8.

WYNN – upgrades, and the breakdown of the level, the upside is about 10%.

REGN is a breakdown of the level, plus news on the release of strong results for the 2nd phase of drug research.

MKSI – close to the breakdown of level 115, interesting, it is necessary to follow the breakdown.

LVS is a positive news background, it is possible after the breakdown of 73.5.

JPM – it looks interesting, after strong reporting, after a breakdown of 140 you can consider buying.

LGF.A – breakdown of the level, the presence of a fundamental upgrade, to the next level of about 10% of the potential.

ETSY – breakdown level, probably underestimated.

LC – trying to bounce

PINS – not bad level pierced

ZS – level breakdown

BBIO – the second wave of growth is likely

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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

News of 21 Jan 2020

(=) neutral, (+) positive, (-) negative


(+) SBUX – Starbucks is expanding its presence in low-income areas.

(+) LLY – Eli Lilly aims to increase M&A transactions in 2020.

(-) ATVI, EA – Video game sales fell 15% in December.

(=) AMD – AMD hires Daniel McNamaru as SVP and GM in the server division. Most recently, McNamara served as president and CEO of Intel for network and user logical groups.

(=) FB – WhatsApp refuses to sell ads. According to the report, WhatsApp has dismissed a team that is working on finding a way to integrate advertising into the messaging service.

(+) RUN – JP Morgan considers Sunrun shares underestimated. JPM analyst Mark Strouse believes that Sunrun is well positioned in the “fast-growing” solar energy market in the United States, and its scale can provide solid growth opportunities.

(+) AAPL – Apple will release its original movie The Banker in movie theaters on March 6. The film will be released on Apple TV + on March 20.

(-) AA – Alcoa predicts that global aluminum supply will exceed demand by as much as 1 million metric tons in 2020, compared with a deficit of 900K-1.1 million tons last year. Demand worldwide is growing by 1.4-2.4%, but this is not enough to absorb excess supply.

(+) MSFT – Microsoft launches $ 1 billion climate innovation fund to stimulate the development of new technologies to reduce and remove carbon. The tech giant also promises to be carbon-negative by 2030, and by 2050 will remove enough carbon to offset emissions and energy consumption since Microsoft was founded.

(+) AMD, NVDA, QCOM – Mizuho has compiled a list of the best chip manufacturers for 2020 and Nvidia, AMD and Qualcomm are included in this list.

(+) AAPL – Barclays analysts say the Apple iPhone lineup released this fall will include a new version of Face ID and 3D sensors that can help improve AR applications.

(+) IRBT – Raymond James switches to Underperform’s Market Perform rating, believing that the negative catalysts have disappeared.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
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Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

News of 24 Jan 2020

(=) neutral, (+) positive, (-) negative


(=) ADPT valued its secondary offering at $ 26.5 per share.
(=) UBER offers 2,000 Nissan electric cars to London drivers.
(+) UBER and LYFT received permission to work in Vancouver.
(=) DDOG will report for the 4th quarter – February 13th.
(=) FSLY will report for the 4th quarter – February 20.

 

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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

Current stock summary

HOLD – as it says, just hold the positions

LOOK – be alert, and be ready to close

SELL – as it says, sell right away

 

Stock AVG Target Fundamental Upside,
%
Profit since IPO, % Profit since FWD, % Midterm positions (over 1 month) Short term positions (below 1 month)
             
ROKU 149,94 12% 858% HOLD HOLD
SWCH 17,23 6% -4% HOLD SELL
QD 5,41 61% -86% LOOK LOOK
MDB 164,62 11% 519% HOLD HOLD
PAGS 45,89 31% 59% HOLD
ZS 61,19 3% 271% HOLD HOLD
DBX 27,31 54% -16% LOOK LOOK
DOCU 83,85 13% 156% HOLD HOLD
SMAR 52,31 12% 212% HOLD
GSKY 8,17 -11% -60% HOLD LOOK
AVLR 100,91 21% 247% HOLD HOLD
1810 11,90 -11% -22% HOLD HOLD
TENB 34,45 27% 18% LOOK SELL
FTCH 15,75 21% -35% LOOK LOOK
ESTC 91,75 35% 89% HOLD LOOK
PLAN 65,50 15% 235% HOLD HOLD
SWAV 48,80 11% 157% HOLD LOOK
LEVI 24,00 20% 17% LOOK HOLD
LYFT 66,32 37% -33% HOLD LOOK
PD 28,17 17% 1% LOOK HOLD
PINS 26,76 18% 19% LOOK HOLD
ZM 79,29 6% 107% LOOK HOLD
TMDX 24,50 23% 25% LOOK
BYND 102,11 -14% 375% LOOK LOOK
UBER 44,89 20% -17% HOLD HOLD
FSLY 26,11 4% 57% LOOK HOLD
RVLV 29,36 64% 0% LOOK LOOK
CRWD 76,38 24% 81% HOLD HOLD
FVRR 29,13 11% 25% LOOK HOLD
CHWY 35,45 26% 27% HOLD LOOK
ADPT 44,67 66% 34% LOOK LOOK
CHNG 18,47 11% 28% HOLD HOLD
REAL 27,10 69% -20% LOOK LOOK
DOYU 9,27 17% -31% HOLD
MDLA 44,50 43% 48% HOLD HOLD
LVGO 43,29 55% 0% HOLD HOLD
HCAT 48,83 39% 35% HOLD LOOK
SNDL 5,75 103% -78% HOLD LOOK
DT 29,73 7% 74% HOLD HOLD
INMD 47,00 -6% 255% HOLD HOLD
SDC 18,67 36% -40% HOLD HOLD
NET 21,25 17% 21% HOLD HOLD
PING 26,86 7% 67% HOLD HOLD
DDOG 44,10 3% 59% HOLD HOLD
PTON 34,95 16% 4% HOLD LOOK
PGNY 29,55 -9% 150% 125% HOLD HOLD
XP 39,15 -5% 52% 37% HOLD HOLD
BILL 39,57 -14% 110% 89% HOLD HOLD
SPT 23,70 13% 23% 11% HOLD HOLD
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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

News of 3 Feb 2020

(=) neutral, (+) positive, (-) negative


(=) AAPL – Apple closes all Chinese stores and offices, but according to Wedbush this will be less than 3% of iPhone’s annual sales in China, and the impact is likely to be negligible.

(+) ROKU – Companies have entered into a new agreement to preserve Fox channels on Roku devices. For direct 4K streaming for Super Bowl for owners of Roku players.

(+) AMZN – KeyBanc maintains a Buy rating on Amazon and raises the target to $ 2,400.

(+) AMZN – Wedbush (Outperform) raises Amazon’s target price to $ 2325.

(+) ACN – Accenture extends Workday practice.

(+) NKE – Nike Vaporfly will be presented at the Tokyo Olympics.

(+) SQ – UPS will add the Square Online Store to its Digital Access program, which can improve Square’s positioning to better compete with peers like Shopify.

(+) WDC – Susquehanna maintains a positive Western Digital rating and raises the target from $ 90 to $ 100.

(+) MO – Piper Sandler raised its target price to $ 57 with a Buy rating.

(+) AMZN – RBC Capital has raised its Amazon target from $ 2,500 to $ 2,700 dollars and also predicts a bullish scenario at $ 3200.

(+) PYPL – Guggenheim upgrades PayPal Holdings to Buy.

(+) IBM – Analysts positively evaluate the leadership of IBM.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
(@stocktips)
Eminent Member
Joined: 6 months ago

Another maximum at 3357 points

# * What is happening on the market today? *

– * Yesterday. * The market once again updates the historical maximum at the level of 3357 points, continuing its movement in the local growing channel.

– *Today*. Futures S&P 500 shows continued growth dynamics, with consolidation above 3365 points.

* What is the market moving now? *

* Spotlight: the health situation. *

* Triggers: *

(1) There is growing confidence among investors that a coronavirus outbreak has a short-term effect.

(2) Recent data from China indicate that the outbreak may be weakened.

(3) Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the good state of the US economy.

*What to expect?*

Given the fairly good dynamics in futures, it will be important for the market to break through resistance at 3370 to continue growth, in which case the following growth targets at 3385-3397 points. If the breakdown does not take place, a flat in the range of levels of 3370-3340 points is not ruled out.

# Sectors

* Sectors showed mixed dynamics, with XLE growth leader. *

Technology Sector (XLK) -0.34%

Financial Sector (XLF) 0.35%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 0.36%

Energy Sector (XLE) 1.12%

Industrial Sector (XLI) 0.38%

Health Sector (XLV) 0.60%

Consumer Sector (XLP) -0.37%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) 0.79%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) 0.55%

# Stock News

(=) FB – Facebook will also not attend the MWC conference.

(=) TSLA – National Transport Safety Council opens its public protocol on two accidents involving Tesla vehicles

(+) GOOGL – According to information sources, YouTube spoke with several companies about adding their streaming subscription services.

(+) PFE – Astellas Pharma and collaboration partner Pfizer announce the final data from the PROSPER Phase 3 clinical trial, evaluating Xtandi with a positive result.

(+) MU – Micron confirms its forecast of capital investments in FY20 in the amount of 7-8 billion dollars. The company claims that NAND’s deliveries are “much more rational” and see a healthy environment throughout the year.

(+) AAPL – Apple has hired Warner Music Group veteran Jeff Bronikowski as global leader in strategic music initiatives. Bronikowski previously served as vice president of global business development at Warner Music.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rose slightly to 15.18, but ran into resistance at 15.2.

Gold continues to move in the channel at the level of 1569, almost at the same levels.

The yield on 10-year bonds rose to 1.608. continuing bounce attempts.

Oil is also trying to bounce off at 50.6.

Intermarket indicators show an ambiguous situation, in the moment it is important for the VIX indicator to stay below resistance at 15.2, in which case you can see the continuation of the bullish thesis on the market.

# Market topics

* Sanders won the democratic primaries in New Hampshire. *

– Bernie Sanders won the primaries on Tuesday, reflecting competition from Pete Buttigag and Amy Klobuchar, seeking to strengthen their status as a democratic party divided between progressive and moderate. With 86% of the polls, Sanders received 25.8% of the vote, buttigig received 24.4%. Klobuchar was third with 19.7%, according to the Associated Press.
“Buttigig gained trust thanks to his strong second finish in fifth place in Iowa.” He also retained his leadership in the delegates. The result Klobuchar was a big surprise of the evening, taking third place. However, victory is a victory, and Sanders grabbed his pinnacle to assert leadership status in the presidential race.

* Oil continues to grow, despite Russia’s hesitation over the decline in OPEC + production. *

– Oil continued to grow as investors weighed hopes for Russia’s decision to accept OPEC +’s proposal to reduce production amid increasing US crude oil reserves. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies have expressed their desire to stabilize the oil market.
– An API report also showed that oil stocks were down 2.33 million barrels last week, while gasoline stocks were up 1.08 million barrels.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
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News of 14 Feb 2020

(=) neutral, (+) positive, (-) negative

(-) TSLA – Tesla recalls 15 thousand Model X SUVs due to a power steering problem.

(+) PYPL – FIS becomes the first non-bank payment partner integrated with the PayPal project with Pay Rewards.

(+) BA – Credit Suisse raises the target price of Boeing shares to $ 367, which reflects increased confidence in the company’s cash flow path after meeting with management this week.

(+) TWTR – LightShed Partners raised its target price to 45 with a Buy rating.

(+) NVDA – Jefferies raised Nvidia’s target price to $ 315.

(+) NVDA – Susquehanna also raises the target price to $ 310.

(+) NVDA – Wedbush joins colleagues and raises target price to $ 295.

(+) FB – WhatsApp reports about 2 billion users, compared with 1.5 billion two years ago.

(+) ATVI – SunTrust raised its target price to $ 68 amid a solid report.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX fell to 13.74, breaking through the local support level.

Gold shows growth attempts at the level of 1578.

Yields on 10-year bonds fell to 1.589.

Oil is adjusted at 51.2 after an attempt to rebound.

Intermarket indicators reflected market growth, and VIX will be important to stay below 14.8 to continue bullish dynamics in the market.

# Market topics

* World Mobile Congress canceled due to coronavirus.

* – The wireless industry canceled its largest annual exhibition after the outbreak of coronavirus caused a massive outflow of participants who excited telecommunications companies. – For the first time in the 33-year history of MWC Barcelona, ​​the organizers canceled an event that brings together more than 100,000 participants from around the world to get acquainted with the latest innovations, present to investors and close deals. “Global concern over the outbreak of coronavirus, travel problems and other circumstances makes it impossible to host this event,” said John Hoffman, executive director of the GSMA conference organizer. * KKR raised $ 1.3 billion for a global exposure fund.

* – KKR & Co. raised $ 1.3 billion for its first global impact fund, one of the largest of its kind, as the alternative asset manager is stepping up investment in a business that addresses environmental and social issues. – The fund is supported by pension funds, family offices, institutional investors and high-income individuals, KKR said on Wednesday in a statement announcing the completion of raising capital. A New York-based firm is investing $ 130 million in equity with customers. – Private joint-stock companies accumulate funds in an attempt to play a more important role in the rapidly growing area of ​​socially responsible investment. The foundation will focus on topics such as climate change, clean water, labor development, waste, mobility, sustainability and infrastructure improvements that contribute to the achievement of the United Nations sustainable development goals.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
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Joined: 6 months ago

* Sectors showed more mixed dynamics, with growth leaders XLU and XLP. *

Technology Sector (XLK) -0.27%

Financial Sector (XLF) -0.03%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 1.11%

Energy Sector (XLE) -0.31%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -0.56%

Health Sector (XLV) -0.47%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 0.59%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) -0.17%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) -0.36%

# Stock News

(+) TWTR – Twitter is creating its first engineering center in the Asia-Pacific region, which plans to hire at least 65 technical staff in Singapore.

(=) TSLA – Tesla estimates SPO at $ 2 billion at a price of $ 767 per share.

(+) FB – An experimental group on Facebook has released Hobbi, a Pinterest-style photo storage / sharing application.

(+) CRM – Mizuho raises its Salesforce target to $ 215.

(+) BABA – Baird believes that Alibaba has a good enough opportunity for quick recovery after exposure to coronavirus. Baird maintains an Outperform rating and raises its target from $ 200 to $ 230.

(+) PM – Cowen upgraded Philip Morris International to Outperform with a target price of $ 102.

(+) FEYE – FireEye grew up on Cisco buyback rumors.

(+) TSLA – Wed Ivs analyst Dan Ives calls SPO Tesla a smart move on the part of Mask and management, and the company will have a much stronger capital position when launching Gigafactory 3.

(=) WMT – According to The Wall Street Journal, Walmart plans to restructure Jetblack trading service after failing negotiations with potential investors.

(+) PEP – PepsiCo does not see a significant impact on the business due to the coronavirus.

(+) AAPL – Apple opens some stores in Beijing.

(+) FB – Instagram is in talks with video producers to increase funding this year for an IGTV show. To strengthen the competition with the TikTok platform.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX showed a slight increase to the level of 14.15.

Gold practically remained unchanged and approached the channel border at the level of 1577.

Yields on 10-year bonds also did not change much and traded at 1.614.

Oil has grown a bit to the level of 51.55.

Intermarket indicators reflected the correctional dynamics of the market, and for growth, the VIX indicator needs to break through the support level of 13.8.

# Market topics

* German GDP report indicates stagnant economy. *

– The German economy stagnated at the end of 2019, leaving it in a weakened state even before the emergence of a new threat of the coronavirus.
– Friday news was not all bad; growth in the third quarter was slightly revised, and in the fourth quarter the economy escaped the contraction some feared.
– While in 2020 a recovery was to take place, albeit a modest one, it is now in question because of the continuing weakness of the industry, and also because of the consequences of the outbreak in China.
– The last round of bad news for Germany began last week, when the numbers showed the largest drop in industrial production after the global financial crisis a decade ago. While in retrospect, these data reflect recent positives against the backdrop of more positive survey results.

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stocktips
Posts: 37
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New markets highs at 3380 points

# ** What is happening on the market today? **

– ** On Friday. ** The market updated its historical maximum at 3380 points, continuing its movement in a local growing channel.

– **Today**. Futures S&P 500 shows a slight correction within the local channel above the level of 3370 points.

** What is the market moving now? **

** Spotlight: Health Situation. **

** Triggers: **

(1) China will increase financial support for the economy.

(2) Xi Jinping stated that anti-virus measures had a “positive effect”.

**What to expect?**

Given the correctional dynamics of the futures, it will be important for the market to stay above the local support levels of 3330-3320 points, in order to maintain a bullish thesis in the market.

# Expected Events

 

February 19 – 19:30 ALT – The number of construction permits issued.

February 19 – 19:30 ALT – Producer Price Index (PPI).

02.20 – 01:00 ALT – Publication of FOMC protocols.

02.20 – 19:30 ALT – Production Activity Index.

02.21 – 08:45 ALT – Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI).

02.21 – 21:00 ALT – Sales in the secondary housing market.

# Sectors

** Sectors showed more mixed dynamics, with growth leaders XLU and XLK. **

Technology Sector (XLK) 0.43%

Financial Sector (XLF) 0.13%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 0.67%

Energy Sector (XLE) -0.53%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -0.13%

Health Sector (XLV) 0.08%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 0.23%

Durable goods sector (XLY) -0.15%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) 0.02%

# Stock News

(+) GOOGL – Google reduces the “small number of employees” in its cloud computing division to improve business processes.

(+) BA – Boeing presents an initial plan to solve wiring problems in 737 MAX aircraft.

(=) BA – The United States increases tariffs for European aircraft to 15% from 10%.

(+) AAPL – Apple will develop its own antenna for the iPhone 5G.

(=) TSLA – The Berlin High Administrative Court ordered Tesla to stop clearing forest land near Berlin for the construction of the Giga Berlin plant.

(+) AAPL – Apple opens a store in Shanghai.

(=) FB – Facebook cancels the marketing summit due to virus.

(-) AAPL – Apple warns of a possible drop in revenue for the quarter due to the coronavirus.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rose to 15.18, approaching an important resistance level.

Gold shows a good attempt to exit the channel at the level of 1585.

Yields on 10-year bonds fell to 1,588.

Oil is consolidating at 51.5 after a good bounce attempt.

Intermarket indicators show an ambiguous situation, and if the VIX breaks the resistance level by 15.5, further correction is possible.

# Market topics

** China promises to increase financial support. **

– China promised to introduce more effective incentives, despite the widening budget gap, since coronavirus negatively affects the economy.
– Finance Minister Liu Kun wrote on Sunday in Qiushi magazine that the country will continue to improve and implement measures to reduce corporate taxes and reduce unnecessary government spending, as the virus affects production.
“According to him,“ targeted and phased ”measures will be carried out to reduce taxes and expenses to help companies. According to Liu, the policy includes a reduction or exemption from value added tax for firms providing essential goods or logistics, and an increase in funds for provincial authorities.

** Chinese leaders promise to achieve growth goals despite the virus. **

– China called on the nation to achieve its economic goals this year, even against the backdrop of pressure from the coronavirus. Xi also announced the sustainability of the economy amid an almost complete halt in production in some cities.
“The goals will be achieved by maintaining a reasonable and flexible monetary policy, making greater use of the fiscal policy, stimulating domestic consumption and promoting major projects with foreign investment,” the leaders said at the meeting.
– Officials should give priority to the effective use of investments within the budget of the central government, increase the interest of private investments and accelerate the construction of large projects.

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stocktips
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Minor correction at the level of 3370 points

# ** What is happening on the market today? **

– ** Yesterday. ** The market showed a slight correctional movement to the level of 3370 points, while maintaining the local support level.

– **Today**. Futures S&P 500 shows an attempt to bounce below the level of 3380 points, continuing to move in a local growing channel.

** What is the market moving now? **

** Spotlight: Health Situation. **

** Triggers: **

(1) Apple’s statement regarding the likelihood of a drop in sales.

(2) China plans to provide more support to its economy.

**What to expect?**

It is important for the market to gain a foothold above the local level of 3360 points, in order to continue growth, and break through resistance at 3390. But if these levels are not broken, it is likely to see a flat movement on in the range of these levels.

# Sectors

** Sectors showed corrective dynamics, with the leader in protective XLU growth. **

Technology Sector (XLK) -0.37%

Financial Sector (XLF) -0.87%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 0.84%

Energy Sector (XLE) -0.82%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -0.57%

Health Sector (XLV) -0.36%

Consumer Sector (XLP) -0.35%

Durable goods sector (XLY) -0.01%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) -0.25%

# Stock News

(+) INTC – Intel is negotiating the sale of its connection business with MaxLinear.

(=) AAPL – Mass production of iPhone SE was supposed to begin by the end of this month, but the start date could be delayed to March.

(+) AAPL – AirTags may appear in the 3rd quarter. This item tracking device allows users to find tagged items, such as car keys or wallets, using the iOS Find My iOS app.

(+) TSLA – Morgan Stanley raised the target price for the base scenario for Tesla to $ 500, and the bullish forecast – up to $ 1200.

(=) WMT – Oppenheimer maintains a Market Perform rating for Walmart and a target price of $ 125.

(+) AAPL – Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives and Strecker Beck are optimistic about Apple’s thesis about the “5G supercycle”, despite a warning about revenue from the tech giant.

(+) NVDA – Bernstein maintains Outperform’s rating for Nvidia and raises the target price to $ 360.

(+) NKE – Nike Introduces New CFO and COO.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rose to the level of 14.8 breaking through the border of the downward channel.

Gold is testing the highs at 1608, breaking out of the local channel.

The yield on 10-year bonds shows an attempt to bounce at 1.573.

Oil also continues to grow at 52.4.

Intermarket indicators show an ambiguous situation and VIX will be very important to stay below the resistance levels of 15.5 to maintain a bullish thesis in the market.

# Market topics

** Analysts predict the short-term effects of coronavirus on Apple sales. **

– Shares of Apple Inc. fell on Tuesday after the company announced that the consequences of coronavirus would result in it not meeting its sales goals this quarter.
– This news was not completely unexpected, as the iPhone manufacturer has been fighting the virus for several weeks, and the consequences have led to some delays in production and the closure of retail stores in China.
– Analysts recognized the uncertainty and risk associated with the virus in China, a country that is a key part of the Apple supply chain and one of the main sources of income; According to data compiled by Bloomberg, nearly 17% of Apple’s revenue in 2019 came from China. However, analysts also emphasized that the impact of the virus will be temporary, and they still see reasons to be optimistic about Apple’s long-term prospects.

** US imposes sanctions on Rosneft for communication with Venezuela. **

– The United States authorized a division of Russia’s largest oil producer PJSC Rosneft for maintaining ties with Venezuelan Nicolas Maduro and the state-owned oil company PDVSA.
– The US Department of the Treasury’s Foreign Asset Control Office is acting against Rosneft Trading SA, a Swiss-based brokerage company, as well as its chairman Didier Casimiro. US restrictions come with a three-month liquidation period that expires May 20.
– This step is another escalation of the Trump administration’s campaign to expel Maduro and mobilize international support for the Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido. For the oil market, this means disruption and increased legal costs for companies.

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stocktips
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Quite logical correction to the level of 3373 points

# * What is happening on the market today? *

– * Yesterday. * The market showed an increased level of volatility with correction to the level of 3373 points, but it is worth noting a rather solid rebound at the close of the session.

– *Today*. Futures S&P 500 continues correction to the level of 3353 points, approaching key supports.

* What is the market moving now? *

* Spotlight: the health situation. *

* Triggers: *

(1) The virus situation outside of China.

*What to expect?*

It is extremely important for the market to maintain local support levels at 3340 points to maintain the likelihood of a rebound, and to continue growing, the market needs to break through resistance at 3360 points, if breakdown of these levels does not take place, it is more likely to see a flat in the range of these levels.

# Sectors

* Most sectors showed correction, with leaders falling XLK and XLV. *

Technology Sector (XLK) -1.04%

Financial Sector (XLF) -0.19%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 0.36%

Energy Sector (XLE) -0.11%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -0.14%

Health Sector (XLV) -0.64%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 0.08%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) 0.04%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) 0.17%

# Stock News

(+) LMT – Lockheed Martin confirms that its Sikorsky unit has contracted with the US Navy to build six VH-92A helicopters for the president.

(+) GS, JPM – JPMorgan and Goldman invest in startup of Member Exchange, NYSE competitor, Nasdaq.

(+) TWTR – Twitter strengthens the fight against misinformation from politicians and public figures.

(=) CMCSA – Comcast has appointed Jennifer Hoorie as Head of Communications.

(=) AGN – A private company BTL Industries has filed a lawsuit in the state of Delaware against Allergan in connection with “deceptive” advertising, the procedure for the contour correction of the figure CoolTone.

(+) ALGN – Align Tech launches a new visualization tool for the Invisalign Go system.

(+) MSFT – Microsoft announces plans to invest $ 1.1 billion in Mexico over the next five years. Nadella says the money will go towards “expanding access to digital technology for people and organizations across the country.” Microsoft will build a new data center and invest in training laboratories and continuing education programs.

(+) AMD – Wells Fargo raises the target price to 64 for AMD, but puts a Neutral rating.

# Intermarket analysis

The VIX rose to 15.5, testing an important resistance level.

Gold continues to rise at 1631, also continuing to move in the local channel.

Yields on 10-year bonds fell to 1.492, approaching important support levels.

Oil is consolidating after rising at 53.4.

Intermarket indicators reflected the correction of the market, and if VIX breaks the resistance level at 16, another correctional wave is not excluded.

# Market topics

* Some Oracle employees quit in protest of Larry Ellison’s policies. *

– Oracle is facing protests from employees. People quit their jobs Thursday at Oracle’s offices around the world to protest fundraising chairman Larry Ellison to support Donald Trump’s company. About 300 employees who left their offices or stopped working in remote places at noon local time and devoted the rest of the day to volunteering or civic engagement took part in the protest rally entitled “No Ethics / No Work”.
– News of a fundraising campaign for Trump’s re-election campaign at Ellison’s house in the Mirage Ranch has helped raise a petition on Change.org from some of the company’s 136,000 employees. Workers claimed that public support by Trump chairman violated Oracle’s diversity, integration, and ethics policies and undermined the image of the world’s second largest software maker.

* European Central Bank politicians cautioned against too much economic optimism. *

“Although a more positive risk assessment can help build confidence in enhancing and further supporting economic development, it has been cautioned that a more cautious forecast for the economy needs to be carefully examined,” said the meeting’s report on Thursday.
– The Governing Council kept the incentives unchanged at the meeting, which mainly focused on the first review of the strategy since 2003. This assessment, which should be completed by the end of the year, will also examine the inflation target, as well as the policy and communication tools. It will also consider how to help combat climate change.

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Continuation of the corrective movement to the levels of 3337 points.

# * What is happening on the market today? *

– * On Friday. * The market showed a correction to the level of 3337 points, testing local support levels.

– *Today*. Futures S&P 500 continued the correctional movement to the levels of 3265 points, where it is currently consolidating.

* What is the market moving now? *

* Spotlight: the health situation. *

* Triggers: *

(1) Continued pressure due to virus situation.

*What to expect?*

Given the strengthening of futures correction, it will be important for the market to maintain the closest support level by 3240 points, in which case we can expect some pause in correction and consolidation at the levels of 3240-3260 points.

# Expected Events

 

02/25 – 8:00 p.m. ALT – S & P / CaseShiller Housing Price Index (YoY).

02/26 – 9:00 p.m. ALT – Sales in the primary housing market (m / m).

02/27 – 7:30 p.m. ALT – Orders for durable goods.

02/27 – 7:30 p.m. ALT – Initial jobless claims.

February 28 – 19:30 ALT – Income of individuals (m / m).

# Sectors

* Almost all sectors showed correction, with leaders falling XLK and XLY. *

Technology Sector (XLK) -2.24%

Financial Sector (XLF) -0.97%

Utilities Sector (XLU) -0.18%

Energy Sector (XLE) -1.19%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -0.50%

Health Sector (XLV) 0.06%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 0.17%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) -1.53%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) -0.46%

# Stock News

(=) BA – A federal prosecutor’s office investigating Boeing is investigating whether the company deliberately misled the Federal Aviation Administration when it sought approval from its 737 MAX.

(+) GOOGL – Google has reached an agreement with a consortium of state-owned companies working on antitrust investigations.

(+) CMCSA – NBCUniversal is in talks to purchase Walmart’s Vudu streaming service.

(=) MO – SEC investigates Altria’s investment in Juul.

(=) FANG – According to Bloomberg sources, the US Department of Justice has sought external legal assistance in antitrust investigations of technology giants.

(+) GLD – Goldman Sachs said gold prices could rise to $ 1,850 in the near future.

(+) SHOP, FB – Shopify joins the Libra Association.

(=) GOOGL – According to WSJ sources, Google does not want to transfer documents to government agencies that are investigating the company for possible violations of antitrust laws.

(+) PEP – PepsiCo buys a Chinese chain of online stores.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX continued to grow to the level of 22.3 breaking through the boundary of the local correction channel.

Gold also continues to grow at 1663, forming a local growing channel.

The yield on 10-year bonds is consolidated at 1.475.

Oil fell after attempting a rebound at 52.

Intermarket indicators reflect a fall in markets, and if VIX continues to grow and breaks resistance at 24, another wave of correction is not ruled out.

# Market topics

* China opened factories after quarantine. *

“China is trying to get people back to work, central and local governments are loosening the criteria for resuming businesses, because they risk between the spread of the virus and preventing a recession in the world’s second largest economy.
– The desire for a restart was triggered by Chinese leader Xi Jinping and senior executives who urge companies to resume production so that the country can continue to achieve its high growth and economic development goals in 2020.
– Officials in the provinces of China accepted the challenge of Xi, and one region after another loosened the rules that supported more than half of the country’s industrial base without work after the lunar New Year holiday. After several weeks of empty streets and closed shops, signs of life appear along the manufacturing belt in the coastal areas of the country.

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stocktips
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Good evening!

Continuation of correctional dynamics at the level of 2954 points, with attempts to rebound.

# ** What is happening on the market today? **

– ** On Friday. ** The market continued to correct to the levels of 2954 points, but it is worth noting a fairly solid rebound at the close of the session.
– **Today**. Futures S&P 500 continued an attempt to rebound with consolidation above 2960 points.

** What is the market moving now? **

** Spotlight: Health Situation. **

** Triggers: **

(1) The situation with the virus.

(2) Liquidity support from central banks.

**What to expect?**

Given the correction dynamics in the futures market, it will be extremely important for the market to maintain support at the level of 2850 points, in this case, it is possible to consolidate and then rebound in case of breakdown of resistance at the level of 3000 points.

# Expected Events

02.03 – 18:00 ALT – Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) from ISM (Feb).

03.03 – 22:50 ALT – Speech of the FOMC member Mester.

04.03 – 16:15 ALT – Change in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector from ADP (Feb).

March 4 – 18:00 ALT – ISM Procurement Managers Index (Feb).

05.03 – 16:30 ALT – The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits.

05.03 – 16:30 ALT – Non-agricultural productivity level (sq / sq) (4 sq.).

March 6 – 16:30 ALT – Change in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector (Feb).

March 6 – 16:30 ALT – Unemployment Rate (Feb).

 

# Sectors

** Sectors showed mixed dynamics. **

Technology Sector (XLK) 0.76%

Financial Sector (XLF) -2.7%

Utilities Sector (XLU) -3.3%

Energy Sector (XLE) -0.09%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -1.83%

Health Sector (XLV) -1.29%

Consumer Sector (XLP) -1.98%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) -0.64%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) -1.09%

# Stock News

(+) WMT, VZ – Walmart plans to equip its stores with antennas and other equipment for creating next-generation networks and is discussing 5G technology with Verizon.

(+) MMM – 3M increases the production of face masks.

(=) ABBV – AbbVie stated that in its study of the VIALE-C phase, the venetoclax combination did not reach its main endpoint.

(+) STZ – Constellation said sales in the US are strong despite coronavirus.

(+) PFE – Pfizer has received FDA approval for the new combination drug, the pain medication Advil Dual Action.

(+) AAPL – Apple CEO Tim Cook said he is not sure whether problems with the coronavirus will limit the supply chain in the next quarter, and he believes that the impact of coronavirus will be “temporary.”

(+) AMZN – Edward Jones adds Amazon to its focus list, and with a rating increase to the level of “Buy”.

(=) DIS – Disneyland in Tokyo will be closed until March 15 due to concerns about the spread of coronavirus infection in Japan.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX – has grown a bit to level 40.1, but with attempts to go lower.

Gold also shows attempts to rebound at the level of 1601 after a good correction.

The yield on 10-year bonds continued to fall to the level of 1.103.

Oil showed an attempt to bounce at 45.8.

Intermarket indicators generally reflected a fall in the market, and if VIX continued to fall and breaks through level 37, it is possible to see a rebound in the market.

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stocktips
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Good evening!

Strong rebound to the level of 3090 points

# ** What is happening on the market today? **

– ** Yesterday. ** The market showed a fairly solid rebound to the level of 3090 points, breaking through important resistance levels.
– **Today**. Futures S&P 500 is consolidating above the level of 3070 points, with an attempt to go higher.

** What is the market moving now? **

** In the spotlight: the situation in healthcare and the actions of the Central Bank. **

** Triggers: **

(1) The central banks of the United States, Japan and Europe have committed themselves to acting appropriately to eliminate the consequences of coronavirus.

**What to expect?**

Given a fairly solid rebound, it will now be extremely important for the market to gain a foothold above the levels of 3020 points in order to maintain a bullish thesis on the market and break through resistance by 3100 points to continue the rebound.

# Sectors

All sectors showed solid growth, with leaders XLK and XLU.

Technology Sector (XLK) 5.78%

Financial Sector (XLF) 5.11%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 5.89%

Energy Sector (XLE) 4.04%

Industrial Sector (XLI) 3.5%

Health Sector (XLV) 4.69%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 5.35%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) 3.44%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) 4.29%

# Stock News

(+) NFLX – Netflix hires Josh Simon to appoint a consumer product manager who worked for Nike.

(=) GS – Goldman Sachs Group orders its employees to postpone any minor international business trips.

(=) NVDA – Nvidia cancels attending the annual GTC user conference scheduled for March 22–26 in San Jose, California.

(+) BMY, SNY – The FDA approves Sanofi Sarclisa in combination with Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Pomalist.

(+) INTC – Intel’s business looks “relatively normal” amid a virus outbreak, according to CFO.

(=) AAPL – Apple will pay up to $ 500 million to settle the lawsuit on the iPhone.

(+) AMZN – Amazon Web Services plans to double its sales team in 2020.

(+) AMD – Bank of America (Buy) raises AMD’s target from $ 58 to $ 62.

(+) T – AT&T launched AT&T TV, a live streaming Internet broadcasting service.

(+) PFE – The FDA accepts the Pfizer application for a new pain medication.

(+) VZ – Cowen upgrades Verizon from Market Perform to Outperform.

(=) PM – Philip Morris International appoints Emmanuel Babo as its CFO in place of Martin King, who is reassigned to the newly created PMI America CEO.

(+) ATVI – Stephens raises its Activision Blizzard goal from $ 67 to $ 72.

(+) AAPL – Oppenheimer upgrades Apple to ‘Buy’ with a target price of $ 320.

(=) SQ – Square plans to place $ 1 billion convertible bonds.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rolled from highs to 33.42 levels.

Gold is consolidating at 1600.

Yields on 10-year bonds fell to 1.121.

Oil rebounded to 47.5.

Intermarket indicators generally reflected the growth of markets, and to continue growth, VIX needs to break through support at level 30, which will also significantly increase the likelihood of such dynamics continuing.

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stocktips
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Strong correction to the level of 2746 points

# * What is happening on the market today? *

– * Yesterday. * The market showed a fairly strong correction to the levels of 2746 points, but has kept the trend since 2009.
– *Today*. Futures S&P 500 shows a good attempt at a rebound at the level of 2840 points, testing important resistance levels.

* What is the market moving now? *

* Focus: health situation and government action. *

* Triggers: *

(1) Drop in oil, with continued pressure from the virus situation.

(2) Donald Trump said the administration will discuss with Congress a possible payroll tax cut and that there will be “big” economic statements on Tuesday.

*What to expect?*

In the near future, it is extremely important for the market to stay above the levels of 2750-2700 points, thus the market will maintain the trend-line from 2009 and increase the chances of recovery.

# Expected Events

10.03 – 20:00 ALT – WASDE Report.

10.03 – 23:30 ALT – Weekly crude oil inventories according to the American Petroleum Institute (API).

11.03 – 14:00 ALT – OPEC Monthly Report.

11.03 – 15:30 – Basic Consumer Price Index (CPI) (m / m) (Feb).

11.03 – 17:30 ALT – Crude Oil Reserves.

12.03 – 15:30 ALT – The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits.

12.03 – 15:30 ALT – Producer Price Index (PPI) (m / m) (Feb).

13.03 – 17:00 ALT – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Mar).

13.03 – 20:00 ALT – The number of active drilling rigs from Baker Hughes.

 

# Sectors

* All sectors showed correction, with the leaders of the fall of XLE and XLF. *

Technology Sector (XLK) -7.5%

Financial Sector (XLF) -10.72%

Utilities Sector (XLU) -5.44%

Energy Sector (XLE) -20.14%

Industrial Sector (XLI) -9.2%

Health Sector (XLV) -5.2%

Consumer Sector (XLP) -4.35%

Durable goods sector (XLY) -6.3%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) -9.3%

# Stock News

(-) BA – According to WSJ, the FAA is ready to consider problems with wiring in 737 MAX aircraft, which will lead to further delays in returning the aircraft to service.

(=) NVDA – Nvidia said that due to an outbreak of coronavirus, the GPU conference will be held fully online March 25th.

(+) VZ – Verizon installs 5G in the energy department of the National Laboratory.

(+) DIS – Shanghai Disney Park partially resumes its activities. The park was closed indefinitely on January 25th.

(=) AAPL – According to Wedbush, Apple shipped about 500,000 iPhones in China in February, compared with 1.27 million last year. The overall smartphone market fell 55% YoY. Wedbush expects demand in China to begin to normalize in the second half of the year and remains optimistic for the company ahead of the iPhone 5G launch this fall.

(+) ABBV – AbbVie announces that it is working with global health authorities, including the FDA, CDC, BARDA, NIH and China, to determine if Kaletra HIV is effective in treating COVID-19.

(-) SBUX – Starbucks is trading at a minimum of ten months after the coffee giant closed a store in downtown Seattle after a worker tested positive for coronavirus.

(+) TWTR – Twitter has entered into a peace agreement with Elliott Management and Silver Lake, which will include a change of board of directors, but will leave Jack Dorsey as CEO of the company. Silver Lake will invest $ 1 billion in the company, which will lead to a share buyback of $ 2 billion.

(+) SPLK – BofA analyst Kash Rangan says Splunk looks attractive because of a sell-off after the report. BofA maintains a purchase rating and target price of $ 225 at Splunk.

(+) TSLA – Tesla receives permission from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China to sell longer-range Model 3 cars.

(+) ACN – Accenture acquires the cybersecurity company Context.

(+) TSLA – Tesla plans to increase the production of auto parts in a factory in Shanghai.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rose 29% to 54.4, continuing to move in the channel.

Gold is consolidating below 1,660 points.

The yield on 10-year bonds shows a good attempt at a rebound at 0.675.

Oil also shows a rebound at 33.2, testing resistance at 34.

Intermarket indicators reflected a market decline, and it is extremely important for VIX not to break through the resistance level by 58.5 and go lower, in which case the probability of a market rebound will remain.

# Market topics

* Goldman expects Fed rate cuts to record low. *

Economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said they now expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to a record low of 2015, as the US economy stagnates due to coronavirus.

The Fed will lower its base rate by 50 basis points when politicians gather March 17-18, and then again at its meeting on April 28-29, Jan Hatsius, chief economist, told clients on Monday

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Attempt to bounce to levels 2529 points

# * What is happening on the market today? *

– * Yesterday. * The market showed another attempt to rebound to the levels of 2529 points.
– *Today*. Futures S&P 500 is consolidating at the level of 2400 points, forming a base at current levels.

* What is the market moving now? *

* Focus: health situation and government action. *

* Triggers: *

(1) The White House unveiled plans to strengthen economic incentives to combat the spreading outbreak of coronavirus.

*What to expect?*

Given the movement in futures, it is important for the market to maintain the support level of 2350 points, in order to maintain the likelihood of the formation of the nearest bottom.

# Sectors

* All sectors showed growth, with leaders XLU and XLP. *

Technology Sector (XLK) 6.8%

Financial Sector (XLF) 5.43%

Utilities Sector (XLU) 12.79%

Energy Sector (XLE) 0.68%

Industrial Sector (XLI) 4.61%

Health Sector (XLV) 6.28%

Consumer Sector (XLP) 8.43%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) 3.86%

Basic Materials Sector (XLB) 6.19%

# Stock News

(=) BA – It is reported that the company has told US lawmakers that it needs significant government support to meet liquidity needs that it cannot raise in the current market conditions.

(-) TSLA – Alameda County authorities say the Tesla plant is not an important business as defined in the country’s healthcare system.

(+) LIT – Leading lithium producers in Chile have strengthened sanitary precautions in their salt mining operations in Atacama to protect workers from coronavirus, but, as they say, the impact on production is minimal.

(-) TAN – The Solar Energy Association announces that coronavirus is threatening US project schedules.

(-) DIS – Disney temporarily closes all North American stores. The closure will include the closure of hotels at Walt Disney World and Vero Beach Resort by March 20.

(=) FB – Facebook provides $ 1,000 each for all 45,000 employees to mitigate the effects of the virus outbreak.

(-) DIS – Bernstein lowered the Disney target price to a minimum of $ 100, which indicates the unpredictability of his business in sports, theme parks and movie theaters during the time of the virus.

(+) XLF – Federal regulators are considering mitigating liquidity rules for national banks to help reduce the pressure on them caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

(+) NFLX – Credit Suisse sees a potentially good harbinger of international demand for Netflix, as the company’s load increases sharply in regions heavily affected by coronavirus. There was a sharp increase in Hong Kong and South Korea, which indicates that “application downloads had a positive trend, from January to March.”

(+) SQ – Cowen analyst George Michalos raises the rating to Market Perform with a target price of $ 70.

(-) MCD – McDonald’s may offer rental deferrals to some franchises that close restaurants or see traffic drop due to COVID19.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX rolled back a bit from highs to levels of 75.9.

Gold continues to correct to levels of 1500.

The yield on 10-year bonds rolled back to the level of 1.036, after not bad growth.

Oil fell even lower to 26.3.

Intermarket indicators reflected a rebound in the market as a whole, and in this case, VIX will be important to stay below level 75 to maintain the likelihood of a rebound.

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Consolidation at 2,409 points

# ** What is happening on the market today? **

– ** Yesterday. ** The market showed consolidation at the level of 2409 points, with attempts to rebound from the nearest support levels and the formation of a local bottom.
– **Today**. Futures S&P 500 shows the continuation of the rebound with consolidation above 2400 points.

** What is the market moving now? **

** Spotlight: health situation and government action. **

** Triggers: **

(1) The leadership of the Democratic Chamber offered cash payments of $ 2,000 to all adults and $ 1,000 to all children during quarantine.

(2) Economic support from the White House.

**What to expect?**

Given the formation of a rebound in the futures, it is possible that this trend will continue at the main session, so it will be very important for the market to break through the resistance at the level of 2500-2530 points to increase the likelihood of a continuation of the rebound.

# Sectors

** Sectors showed mixed dynamics with growth leaders XLE and XLY. **

Technology Sector (XLK) 0.36%

Financial Sector (XLF) 2.19%

Utilities Sector (XLU) -5.82%

Energy Sector (XLE) 6.8%

Industrial Sector (XLI) 0.07%

Health Sector (XLV) -2.05%

Consumer Sector (XLP) -3.34%

Durable Goods Sector (XLY) 3.49%

Base Materials Sector (XLB) 2.55%

# Stock News

(+) VZ – Compared to last week, Verizon’s streaming demand increased by 12%, web traffic grew by 20%, virtual private network or VPN grew by 30%, and game hours soared by 75%.

(+) AAPL – Sources of Bloomberg say that the launch of Apple’s iPhone 5G is going according to plan and is expected in the fall.

(=) WMT – Walmart will pay hourly employees special cash bonuses of $ 300 for part-time workers and $ 150 for part-time workers for a total of $ 365 million.

(+) FB – Instagram is testing Snapchat-style text message disappearance, Facebook spokesman TechCrunch confirmed.

(+) AMZN – Amazon.com is involved in the auction of four supermarkets belonging to the bankrupt shopping center New York City Fairway Market, according to the New York Post. Such stores could fit Amazon’s distribution / sales plans.

(-) TSLA – Tesla said it had decided to temporarily suspend production at its Fremont plant after March 23rd.

(+) INTC – Intel claims that it provides more than 90% of timely deliveries from its plants around the world.

(=) NFLX – Netflix reduces video quality in Europe to ease the load on the network.

(-) BA – WSJ reports that Boeing is considering cutting its dividends and possibly laying off workers on its aircraft.

(+) GILD, REGN – President Trump COVID-19 Briefing Notes: The FDA is close to approving the Gilead Sciences remdesivir coronavirus vaccine, and Regeneron is also mentioned.

(+) PYPL – Macquarie analyst Dan Dolev is launching Outperform-rated PayPal Holdings as he sees that payment provider usage trends are improving more than mobile wallet usage trends.

(-) TSLA – Morgan Stanley lowered its target price for Tesla to $ 460 from $ 480 and lowered its supply forecast for TSLA for 2020 to 420 thousand, but retained a constructive long-term forecast.

(+) SQ – BTIG analyst Mark Palmer upgrades Square to Neutral with Sell, saying shares are fairly priced after falling 54% in less than a month.

(-) TSLA – Wedbush Securities lowers Tesla’s target price to $ 425 from $ 710 to reflect the new reality that the auto industry will face in coming months.

# Intermarket analysis

VIX showed a slight decrease to level 72.

Gold shows an attempt to rebound after correction at the level of 1500.

The yield on 10-year bonds slightly rolled back, after trying to grow at 1.151.

Oil consolidates at 27.3 with an attempt to grow.

Intermarket indicators show an ambiguous situation, and now the most important thing is that VIX breaks the level of 68.5, in which case the chances of a rebound in the market will significantly increase.

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The reporting season for the 1st quarter of 2020 may be a risk factor for the market in April, according to SPX they expect -5.2% y / y EPS, the SEC allowed to delay the reports, and forecasts are also being sent. The range of forecasts from investment banks is historically wide, there may be bad and good surprises => volatility.

Companies such as Visa, Twitter, Target, Domino’s Pizza and Deere have already withdrawn their recommendations for 2020. Quest Diagnostics, Gap, Square, Best Buy, Kohl’s, Yelp, FedEx, Ulta, Expedia, Southwest and United Airlines took the same measures.

The SEC said last week it would provide an opportunity for public companies to extend their earnings reports, so investors should expect delays.

 

Economists are trying to describe the likely scenarios of economic recovery:

* Scenario (1) V-shaped. *

In April-May, this virus disappears in Europe and America – social isolation ceases.
Deferred unmet demand + fiscal and monetary incentives trigger the economy.
Factories and services can be freely opened for business.

* Scenario (2) U-shaped *

The virus lasts until June – social distance remains.
Factories and businesses need longer recovery times.
Despite the pent-up demand, consumer activity is low.
Not all jobs lost during the crisis are being restored.
People and companies have accumulated debts during the pandemic that need to be paid off.
Trade remains sluggish – business is not fast but slowly gaining momentum.
Recovery will eventually be in late 2020 or later.

* Scenario (3) L-shaped *

The virus persists in the second half of the year – social isolation persists after June.
Even if the virus fades before the summer, there is a chance that recovery will be delayed.
People continue to further reduce the cost of goods and services.
It becomes difficult to repay debts arising before or during the crisis – this causes a spiral of defaults and bankruptcies of the business.
A new fear of the credit crisis.
Stock markets cannot grow.

* Scenario (4) W-shaped *

The virus leaves in the near months, but then returns in the fall.
This will be if efforts to combat the virus are prematurely weakened.
Re-introduction of restrictions – uncertainty and re-social. insulation.
The result is a recovery, followed by a roll back into recession.

Scenario (5) “Nike swoosh”

Companies and expenses are slowly recovering.
Restrictions are removed more carefully thought out and precisely.
The level of economic growth remains below the pre-crisis level until 2021.
People are still wary of costs and long-distance travel.

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Good news on Monday.

Futures on the S&P 500 opened the week with impressive growth, which overcame several important levels at once – 2530 and the inclined correction channel since February.

Signals of breakthrough levels are quite encouraging and strong for the likelihood of continued growth from the bottom of last week, given the retention of support on Friday despite weak reporting on employment. Now it remains to be seen whether these levels can be held at the opening of the US market on Monday.

Now the market turned out to be very close to the implementation of the “inverted head and shoulders” model – the neckline is located at about 2610. The measured course (height from the head to the neckline) in the case of a breakdown of the neckline is 2930.

But we fully confirm the transition to the scenario of continued growth we will consider a breakthrough of the level of 2643 – 38.2% according to Fibonacci. It will also resemble the 2018 reversal pattern.

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